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The expected growth in the global LNG market in the coming years will mean buyers can do
without long-term contracts, leading industry players said late Tuesday at the Flame
conference in Amsterdam.
Instead, with growing volumes of spot LNG available, buyers can either look to shorter-term
contracts or the spot market to meet their needs.
Charif Souki, chairman at US LNG developer Tellurian Inc., said long-term contracts in the
LNG sector would soon be a thing of the past.
"The market has become sufficiently liquid today that a buyer does not need to enter into a
long-term contract," Souki -- who was the founder of US LNG pioneer Cheniere Energy --
said.
He said that in the next two years, some 20 cargoes would be available every day on the spo
t market, or 5,000 cargoes a year. "You're never very far from a cargo," he said.
"There is no incentive, no imperative to have a long-term contract," Souki said, unless a buye
r is a large utility that needs the guarantee of supply.
"You have to prepare yourself for the next generation which is a transition to a true commodit
y business where you don't need a long-term contract. With a 50 Bcf/d market, with LNG on
the water, I doubt very much the necessity for long-term contracts is going to remain for muc
h longer," he said.
Tellurian is planning to build the 26 million mt/year Driftwood LNG plant and has tried differen
t methods to market its capacity, including offering to sell its future LNG at a fixed $8/MMBtu
price to Japanese buyers.
However, no companies took up the offer.
"We've tried fixed costs, variable costs, Henry Hub-plus, and now we're trying to find a new
business model," Souki said.
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