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Crude oil futures were lower during mid-morning trade in Asia Friday on profit-taking. A
stronger US dollar has also suppressed prices from moving higher, market participants said.
At 10:27 am Singapore time (0227 GMT), June ICE Brent crude futures fell 21 cents/b (0.28%
) from Thursday's settle to $74.53/b, while the June NYMEX light sweet crude contract dipped
20 cents/b (0.29%) to $67.99/b.
While the focus of the market remains US President Donald Trump's stance on the US-Iran
nuclear deal, investors saw fit to lock in profits ahead of the weekend, industry sources said.
"Geopolitical events have been the main driver of the recent bull in prices," Vishnu Varathan,
senior economist at Mizuho Bank, said.
"There is uncertainty stemming from demand [as seen in the crude builds from the US Energ
y Information Administration data], and the wider market is waiting to see the impact of higher
crude oil production from the US," Varathan added, saying that it is a nice level to take profit
ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee meeting next week. Market participants have
also attributed the dip in prices to a stronger US dollar. A stronger US currency denotes
weaker commodity prices as many commodities, such as crude oil, are priced against the
dollar, making procurement more costly. The net impact is typically seen as bearish.
"US dollar has surged quite a bit in the last week or so due to expectations of a rising US bo
nd yield and it has caught the market off guard," said Janu Chan, senior economist at St
George bank.
Some however, felt that the dip in prices during mid-morning trade in Asia Friday is negligible
as supply concerns and geopolitical events will provide a floor to crude oil prices.
"We should not be too concerned about the minute profit-taking in the morning," said
Barnabas Gan, commodity economist at OCBC Bank.
"There are more news coming out of Venezuela indicating that their economic problems are
to stay, and crude production from Venezuela will not resume in [the] near term," Gan added.
On near to mid term outlook, Gan remained cautious over the recent rally in prices, saying
that it was supported by speculations as seen from the uptick in open interest from the CFT
C data.
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