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The Chinese government's move to set a ceiling for domestic coal prices at Qinhuangdao
Port was unlikely to have a significant impact on coal supply-demand fundamentals, however
efforts to allocate more railway capacity to transport thermal coal amid strong winter demand
could have some impact, market sources said Tuesday.
China's Qinhuangdao Port was directed by the country's National Development and Reform
Commission on Monday not to allow domestic 5,500 Kcal/kg NAR coal entering the port to
trade above Yuan 750/mt FOB, effective immediately.
NDRC was also reportedly keeping stringent tabs on all deals at the port as it seeks to reign
in rising domestic thermal coal prices.
The price of FOB Qinhuangdao 5,500 kcal/kg NAR coal has surged almost 30% in the past
year to be assessed at Yuan 770/mt Monday, S&P Global Platts data showed, driven by
strong demand and supply tightness in several producing regions.
The government was also this week giving thermal coal priority over coking coal on railways
in a bid to ease supply bottlenecks during a severe cold snap, a China-based trader said.
"There are logistics issues that are hindering supply from keeping up with demand and that's
why [coal] prices have gone up," he added.
However Luzheng Future coal analyst Pu Chengzhu said the price ceiling set by the
government will not impact supply-demand fundamentals and market conditions significantly,
although near-term sentiment and confidence could be shaken slightly.
Supply remains tight and stockpiles at utilities are low, he said, adding domestic coal prices
may hover around the ceiling level for another one or two weeks, "but as Chinese Lunar New
Year is approaching, demand for coal has a high chance of dropping, especially during the
holidays."
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