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  • Analysis: Global aluminum premiums track US higher in Jan at varied pace

    The spot US Midwest aluminum premium surged by 26.3% over January 2-31, on the back of 

    cuts in Canadian supplies, local transportation constraints, and uncertainty over results of the 

    administration's  Section  232  investigation  on  whether aluminum imports were harming US 

    national security. 


    S&P Global Platts assessed the US Midwest premium at 12 cents/lb delivered on Wednesday, 

    up from 9.5 cents/lb on January 2. 


    The  
    LME  February/March  timespread  was  in  backwardation  of  $4-$9.5 /mt in January, 

    according to LME data. The premiums to LME typically weaken when the market structure is 

    backwardated, but this time there was little impact on the premiums as the US had strong 

    appetite for aluminum, though this was not the case in other markets. 


    Aluminum  premiums  in  other  markets  rose, tracking the US, but at varied levels reflecting 

    domestic stock levels, supply and demand conditions, as well as market participants' exposur

    e to the LME spreads. 


    The CIF Japan spot premium jumped 12% over January, the European duty-unpaid premium 

    rose 8.1% and Brazil's CIF duty-unpaid premium edged up 3%. 

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