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Higher wheat demand from the UK ethanol industry will lead to record domestic wheat
consumption of 15.69 million mt in the 2016/17 season, a rise of 6% year on year, est
imates by the UK Department for Environment, Food & Rural Affairs showed Wednesd
ay.
The figure was 12,000 mt higher than Defra forecast in March for the July 2016 to Jun
e 2017 reporting season.
As a result, the UK was expected to have become a net importer of wheat for only the
fourth time in at least 25 years, as Defra raised its estimate for UK wheat imports this
season to 1.70 million mt, 100,000 mt higher than the March estimate.
"Compared with the March forecast, demand from the bioethanol industry has been revi
sed up. This has more than offset a slight decline in usage by flour millers," the Agricult
ure and Horticulture Development Board said.
The main ethanol producers in the UK are CropEnergies' Ensus and Associated British
Foods' Vivergo with annual production capacities of 400,000 cu m and 420,000 cu m,
respectively.
CropEnergies recently announced an increase in its revenue forecast, which it mainly
attributed to the high utilization of its production facilities and, most of all, UK plant which
had been temporarily shut in the previous year.
Attractive ethanol prices and margins would have also provided an incentive for producer
s to run their plants and, despite an extended maintenance period by Vivergo in January
and February and market talk regarding Ensus run rates, both producers may have provi
ded a better-than-expected source of demand for UK wheat.
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