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Trader quotes for Midwest aluminum premium financial swaps (AUP) on the CME rose
on Friday and Monday back to above 9 cents/lb for all prompt months in 2017, following a
recent dip which saw bids move to below 9 cents/lb in early March.
The rise in CME bids came after the Platts spot transaction premium sustained at the 10
cents/lb delivered Midwest despite the recent downwards pressure in financial markets
which saw offers for all prompt months at below the spot premium.
As of Monday morning, a broker report showed the forward curve was flat across 2017,
with bids for Q2-Q4, 2017 at 9.20 cents/lb and offers at 9.50 cents/lb. Bids and offers for
Cal18 were 9.50 cents/lb and 10 cents/lb respectively.
"We are hearing the physical is well supported and there might be an uptick this week,
which was due to a turnaround as consumers waited for the sell-off to lift," a broker said.
But the broker added that market perception was that the forward curve was still trading at
a discount to the spot market.
Despite the Platts Midwest premium remaining unchanged for over a month, physical
market participants have indicated a growing variability in physical deals with some
discounting being offset by deals done at close to 11 cents/lb delivered Midwest including
net-30 payment terms.
On Friday, 20 lots/month of AUP swaps for H2 2017 traded at 9.20 cents/lb, after the same
strip of contracts had traded at between 9-9.25 cents/lb on Thursday.
But this represented a 0.45 cents/lb rise from March 7 when H2, 2017 traded at 8.75
cents/lb.
"There are a lot more buyers in the market right now with premiums in Japan moving up,"
a broker said. As of Monday, the Platts Japan spot assessment was $115-$125/mt CIF
Major Japanese Ports, up 23% from the end of February.
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