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Phthalic anhydride margins surged to a five-year high of $131/mt CFR China last Friday
after an end-year surge in demand for PA to make dioctyl phthalate.
The last time PA margins were higher was June 21, 2012, at $154/mt CFR China, S&P Global
Platts data showed.
PA is made from orthoxylene and its breakeven is calculated as 0.95 of the prevailing price of
OX plus $100/mt production costs, putting the minimum spread to OX for PA producers to
break even at $105.30/mt.
Margins have been mostly in negative territory since the last quarter of 2012 and flipped to
positive only last October, Platts data showed.
Market participants attributed the flip to positive to strong demand for PA in late 2016 to make
downstream DOP amid expectations of a rise in DOP prices at the end of the year. Low PA
inventories were also cited as a factor.
Also naphthalene-based PA plants in China cut operating rates in the second half of last
year amid a clampdown on adherence to environmental regulations ahead of the G20 summit
in Hangzhou, exacerbating already tight supply.
Naphthalene is an alternative feedstock used to make PA that is typically preferred as it
is cheaper than OX.
OX prices surged last October amid the strong demand for PA and continued to rise
throughout the fourth quarter amid stockpiling ahead of the Lunar New Year holidays.
OX was assessed at $820/mt CFR China last Friday, up from $705/mt at end September.
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